With that out of the way, it's time for the first entry in Round 2 of the SensChirp Search. In this round, our three finalists will go head to head to head, writing about topics suggested by the readers of SensChirp.
Today's entry is on projecting the Sens rebuild. There was no word limit in this round so entries will be a little longer. Love the creativity shown by today's contributor. Check it out!
Dateline – Tuesday April 8, 2015 (Bell Sensplex)The Senators wrapped up their final practice at the Bell Sensplex this morning in preparation for their first round matchup of this year’s Stanley Cup Playoffs, which kicks off tomorrow night at Scotiabank Place.
GM Tim Murray, Executive VP Bryan Murray and Assistant GM Pierre Dorion were all smiles this morning as they watched Paul MacLean run his troops through a fast-paced practice. And why would they not be smiling, as the three men were enjoying the fruits of their labour, which has been a work in progress since the Anaheim Ducks skated around the Honda Center with the Stanley Cup in June 2007. Having their Senators enter these playoffs as the number 4 seed in the Eastern Conference, and being the favourite in a playoff series for the first time since their run to the Cup Finals in 2007 is very satisfying. Getting back into the playoffs last year after a 4 year absence was a great experience-builder for this young group, but this time around they are looking for more, much more. The success they have had in Binghamton, the success through the draft and the success at moving out aging veterans for picks and prospects has led to the creation of a young, dynamic and deep team in both Ottawa and Binghamton.
This team has Murray’s and Dorian’s fingerprints all over it, as it is made up primarily of players that were drafted or produced within their own system. There is no better example of this then on the back end. The strength of this team is their group of puck moving defensemen. Led by Assistant Captain Eric Karlsson, who is coming off yet another 60+ point season, and fellow countryman David Rundblad, a finalist for the Calder Trophy in 2011-12, these two make up one of the top offensive duos in the league. Complementing these sweet Swedes is the pairing of Assistant Captain Jared Cowen and Mark Borowiecki, who have become as good a shutdown tandem as you will find in the NHL today. Other teams hate these guys as they are extremely difficult to play against, and they remind many Sens fans of the glory years of Chara and Phillips. These four are a big reason why the Senators finished the season in the top five on the powerplay and in the top five on the penalty kill. Filling out the d-core are Patrick Wiercoch and 2012 first round pick Ryan Murray, making this group the only homegrown defensive core in the league, and honestly if you have these six, why would you look anywhere else?
Up front the Sens continue to be led by Captain Jason Spezza, the sole remaining player from that 2007 Stanley Cup Final team. ‘Giggles’ has matured into a great leader over the last few seasons, and since taking over the ‘C’ from Daniel Alfredsson at the beginning of last year, he is set to take his young team on a deep playoff run. He will continue to be flanked by Nikita Filatov and Colin Greening, a line that has both skill and strength. Spezza finished with a point-per-game average yet again and Filatov had 25+ goals for the fourth year in a row since becoming a Senator at the Entry Draft in 2011. Greening is the perfect complement on this line as he loves the dirty areas and throws his body around to make room for Spezza and Filatov to work their chemistry.
The second line, centred by Mika Zibanejad, is almost a carbon copy of the top line. Matt Puempel has continued to benefit from his centreman’s great play making ability and is coming off another 25+ goal season, his second in a row. Jakob Silfverberg is to the second line what Greening is to the top line, and then some. Not only does he make space and time for Z-Bad and Puempel to put the puck in the net, but Silfverberg also adds a defensive conscience to this line, as his two linemates are very much fixated on the offensive end. His second 20+ goal season this year was not too shabby either.
Ottawa’s bottom six is a great mix of youth, speed and grit. Stefan Noesen, Bobby Butler and Shane Prince make up a very defensively responsible third line that can contribute on the scoresheet any given night, while the fourth line, made up of Eric Condra, Zach Smith and Mark Stone can change the flow of any game with a hit, fight or timely goal. The added benefit of these six is that any of them can step up into the top six if an injury were to occur, and we saw that this year as Noesen, Prince, Butler and Stone all saw top six minutes during injuries.
The playoffs have, and always will, be decided by the player between the pipes, and in Robin Lehner the Sens have a confident giant that has shown he can win at all levels. After spending two seasons in Binghamton, where he led his team to back-to-back Calder Cup Championships, Lehner spent most of the last two seasons as a back up to starter Craig Anderson. This season Lehner was able to hunt down and dethrone Anderson as the number one, and it became official when the Sens moved Anderson at the trade deadline, leaving the net to Lehner and Lehner alone. Since the trade of Anderson Lehner has been dominant and is clearly happy that his time has finally come.
When asked about the Binghamton’s chances this season Dorion joked that he hoped there would not be anyone heading down there anytime soon, like there had been over the past 4 seasons. However, even though he does not plan on an influx of players heading down to Bingo in the next 2-4weeks, he thinks they will be just fine. He spoke of the leadership of Captain Eric Gryba, Andre Petersson, Louie Caporusso, Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Mike Hoffman and Ben Blood to name just a few. All of these guys saw time with the big club this season and it will definitely be an interesting training camp in September, as all of them have shown they are NHL ready and are hungry to make the jump.
The Senators have stayed away from the July 1st free agent frenzy over the last few years, choosing to keep spots available for their own home grown talent to gain experience, or picking up the odd role player, who they would flip for a pick at the deadline (ie:Konopka). Depending on what happens this spring will definitely help in deciding if they need to add a player or two on Canada Day. They again have stockpiled draft picks, with a minimum of 9 for the fifth year in a row. This year they added picks in the Anderson and Foligno deals, and don’t be surprised if they try to move up and grab the guy they want, like they did to get Karlsson and Puempel, and of course in 2012 to grab Ryan Murray, trading their 1st rounder (8th overall) and Regin for the 2nd overall pick.
So here we sit on the eve of the best time of the year. It has been a long road for the team with the big ‘O’ on their jersey, but they have come full circle from the 2007 team that was pushed around in the SCF by a bigger and deeper Anaheim squad. The rebuild is complete, the core is intact and it is time to see if this is the team that finally gets it done and brings Stanley back home.
1 big question is why on earth would we take another D man with the 2012 2nd ovrall pick when Yakupov and Galchenyuk are available, clearly our offense is what needs upgrading.
I dont know, the article was well written and a great story behind it but I think its just way too much fantasy to be taken seriously.
Agreed. I'm not sure anyone comes here to fill their fiction fix.
Thought this article was extremely unique. Not sure I have ever read something quite like it on a sports-related site either.
I applaud the effort. It was unique. But. it failed. This isn't real insight into hockey... it's just a bunch of fictional garbage. Not exactly what we come here for. We want real facts and information, not speculation on what things could be or who someone might become. That's what hockey buzz is for.
I dont know, the article was well written and a great story behind it but I think its just way too much fantasy to be taken seriously.
Agreed. I'm not sure anyone comes here to fill their fiction fix.
hahaha nice
My issue with it isn't the writers fluidity. Or diction. It wasn't about the writer's optimistic viewpoint. My problem was that there was little to no substance to it.
I just didn't feel as though the writer was drawing from any facts.
This article is very well written and I found it to be really entertaining. Certainly creative.
It is about fantasy and of course those looking for realism, stats. facts etc. will be a little disappointed but if you wanted entertainment, the author of this article certainly provided that and then some.
Not 100% sure this is want I would want on a regular basis but it would be a nice change to have him/her write an article for us every now and then
This writer could have been the writer from last round that took more of a statistical approach. (and Chirp just confirmed this)
Chirp made assignments to these people, since that is the whole purpose of this 'contest' you should all keep that in mind while judging these pieces.
Chirp, correct me if I'm wrong, but this would only be a fill in writer who you would make an 'assignment' to from time to time, not a regular contributor (like Yost was supposed to be), or thats the plan for now?
I was hoping that the clones of Bobby Orr and Gordie Howe would appear.
Rest of the article is good, incredibly optimistic about some players, but given, it is extremely difficult to write projecting 4 years into the future. Personally, I think he should've picked at least a couple of free agents to round out that forward group (i.e. If Parise is UFA next summer, Ottawa will go after him hard, etc.).
Otherwise, good read!
Great article, well written and I think that is more important at this stage than whether or not we are living in a fully fledged fantasy world (and I think we are nearer fantasy than reality). That doesn't matter though.
Don't see Greening being permanently in the top 6 particularly 4 years down the road.
Also, where's the shoutout to Alfredsson as the assistant coach or something?
I don't know how you can be realistic about the year 2015 and if you want to analyze every prediction, the article would have been 20 pages long.
I think the biggest importance of today's piece is that the person can write as well as analyze (see day 2's article).
Very fun read and not THAT big of a stretch.
Its much different from the facts first articles of the first round but for a topic so hard to predict, I have to give 2 thumbs up.
Great job!
Perhaps would have been better if they followed up the "news article" they've written with some hard opinions about what is coming this season.
It was an easy way to write about the topic. Not saying it was bad, but it wasn’t as analytical as it should have been.
The players mentioned are the ones currently in the Sens prospect system other than Ryan Murray.
One thing in this article that could be absolutely true in 2015 is that Spezza will probably be the only 'veteran' left on the Sens. Alfie will be retired probably as well as Phillips. Kuba, Michalek & Gonchar will be gone. Neil maybe as well.
So how far off could this writer really be?
But to just put this down as purely fantasy - is it? OR could there be SOME truth to it.
We do know that the future Sens will include - Rundblad, Cowen, Weircoch, Greening, Condra, Butler, Zibby, Silfverberg, Noesen & Prince..
Just because he does not have UFA's there does not mean it can't work.
On the negative side: The A stands for "Alternate", not assistant. And a spell-check on players names is always a good idea.
Can you tell us what day this guy/girl wrote on for the first part of your competition?
some of the content i dont fully agree on, such as greening on top line and no mention of da costa, or the ryan murray draft.
but overall pretty well written i would give this a solid 9/10 for entertainment and creativity but overall more like a 7.5/10
Yup, mentioned it above. Twice actually.
Instead of going so far into the future like you have here you should have done an article that could be true during this season - and one that would be a possible topic you would write about during the year when Sens news happens and readers are eager for opinions/facts.
One of the things I had in mind was say it is mid-January and the Sens' have just come back from a road trip going 0-6-1 over a two week span ... Chirp would obviously cover the day-to-day blog things but the new contributor could recap good/bad patches in the season breaking down the facts and seeing how the media and fans are taking the growing pains during the season. This would give us more of an idea of what to expect from a new contributor - though I'm excited and hope someone does the Alfie for HoF question.
Just my two cents
Who is to say that Greening and Butler will be here, where Foligno and Regin not? If they have a rebound year, should they not be on the first two lines ahead of say a Greeninng?
And to think that we could not pick up a UFA between now and then is also a strech. I know the track record on them here in Ottawa is not good, but there will be some big names in the next couple of years, and we do have the space.
And 2015 before we are back in the playoffs? Not sure the Murrays would still be around if we fail the next 3 years!
that is my 2 cents worth
Last year, a friend and I did a project about the NHL for a 3rd year regression analysis course. Our goal was to see how strong a correlation a player's points per game in junior has to his points per game in his first two years in the NHL.
I should have submitted it as my entry... all 16 pages of it.
Well the article states that they made the playoffs the previous year (which would be the 13/14 season) so that would mean we missed 11/12 and 12/13 only - which seems reasonable. As long as we're continuing to develop our young players and improve etc I could live with that.
yes you do bring up a good point, but I can still see us makeing the playoffs before that,
in case anyone cares..
Congrats.
I agree with some of the comments that it's perhaps not too realistic as it embellishes likelihoods with statistics that can't be known, but the article is as good as it could possibly be for the subject. The Senators will make the playoffs in the future. And they'll look a lot like the article suggests.
Chirp, this one's a keeper.
Absolute triumph for the writer.
Love the Senschirp blog. It's quality and this adds to it.
Congrats all around.
P
How long do you think a re-build takes. It will be more than 1 yr...
Who Nathan MacKinnon? LOL
What will Nashville do? I don't think they can walk away as they elected the arbitration.
I also don't think they can trade him.
Just think next year they have Suter & Pinne to sign... I guess they start signing to the cap limit next year.
We sure *CAN* but it's not overly likely that we *WILL*. I think we finish out of the playoffs this coming season and battle for 7th/8th next year - but that's just me and a pure guess.
Hahaha. I do. I'm curious has to how well he'll bounce back.
http://www.cbc.ca/sports/hockey/story/2011/08/03/sp-brandon-whl.html
Does that mean he's going to be coaching Mark Stone?
Yep this came out last night. Great news for the organization.
Guess I have different expectations of who would be there.
our draft picks and prospects ready to play and matured is exciting regardless of what line they end up filling.
hard to predict the future so good article, and well written.
I did like the optimism even if it was out there a bit.
I think we are going to have a better idea after this season about our future.
Filatov Regin Foligno Butler Condra Greening Rundblad Cowen, how they all pan out or not.
We are going into this season with a lot of unknowns.
Really we do not even know yet if some players get axed/traded before this season even starts.
What time is this 'Launch' Chirp?
Starts at 11:00 AM.
http://communities.sportsnet.ca/servlet/JiveServlet/downloadImage/2-116992-1649/423-247/newvintage10.JPG
when they heard Icethetics had leaked the image (they saw the leaked image on Senschirp from icethetics)of the new sens jersey they tried to shut down Icethetics as soon as possible.Check Icethetics now and see that it says no access
fun theory eh?
Enjoyed the article! Fresh spin on what everyone talks about all put into one possible outcome...
I wonder who the back-up goalie would be...?
I feel like any article like this would HAVE to talk about this being the 1st Playoff Game since Alfredsson's retirement and likely include a paragraph on the former Captain and face of the franchise for close to 15 years.
You could also have talked about which prospects didn't make it, were there any set-backs along the way? Da Costa's career was cut short due to a violent head-shot that finally changed the NHL's rules and is now known as the Da Costa rule (would also explain why he didn't pan out when 90% of the other prospects did).
cont'd..
I also had an issue with the following:
Quoting Contributor #1:
Using the same word 3 times in the same sentence was a big turn-off for me and I found that echoing in my mind as I read the balance of the article. Definately something to work on in future pieces (if you do go on to win the competition).
Overall: It was a good idea, poorly executed: 6.5/10
read this someone
You've lost it. Get well soon
Go out and get a life if you are craving attention so much and stop annoying us trying to get it here.
Chirp is there anyway to block content from a certain poster? It would be a nice feature
if a team decides to walk away from the contract awarded to a player via arbitration does the player automatically becomes a free agent? If he then signs with another team, do that team have to honour the arbitration figure or are they able to sign him to a different dollar amount and/or term?
I'm not suggesting that the Preds will walk away from the Weber deal but it got me thinking how good he would look tied to a longish contract with the sens.
Bahahah, man I was thinking the same thing. Perhaps a young Sens fan, but the lack of puncuation drives me bananas.
Sben, I think it was a given that the team would go for a throw-back type jersey which would include a barber pole design, and the large "O" as a crest. The whole theory thing is a bit flawed, but it's fun to speculate I suppose. Perhaps we can all wait for today at 11 and they'll give us all a glimpse hopefully on what they are planning for the new heritage jersey, scoreboard, All Star game, etc.
I read somewhere.. that since the Preds took him to arbitration... they can't walk away. I think what is offered by the arbitrator is what the team has to sign him for.
Correct - they basically made it so no team could put in an offer sheet which means they're stuck with the arbitration ruling. They can trade him of course, but not sure if they'd find many takers or if that would be a wise PR move.
In regular arbitration, the team can walk away and the player essentially becomes a UFA. Often they'll first shop the guy around to see if someone will take the contract that was awarded so they get something back of course, but if no team wants that then the player becomes a UFA. It's actually a good way to measure how fair the arbitrator was - if the player ends up signing for something similar (or at least higher than the team's offer) then they probably did their job well.
Coming from Garrioch, that doesnt mean much.
I think it came from the news conference. Just cause a reporter you don't like says something, doesn't mean it isn't true. I hate Garrioch too btw.
Not saying it isnt true, said it dont mean much, no details.
Alfie was interviewed.
I was wondering if you knew when the job-fest starts at scotiabank place? or if anyone else knows please let me know !
I think they already had it... but not positive on that. Check their website.
Correct - they basically made it so no team could put in an offer sheet which means they're stuck with the arbitration ruling. They can trade him of course, but not sure if they'd find many takers or if that would be a wise PR move.
We gave them a fan favorite in Fisher, the least they could do is give us is Weber for our 1st and a conditional 3rd